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Elections Prediction Markets

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Jon Ossoff market icon

Jon Ossoff

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance market icon

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio market icon

Marco Rubio

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Jon Ossoff market icon

Jon Ossoff

J.D. Vance market icon

J.D. Vance

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Mary Peltola market icon

Mary Peltola

Dan Sullivan market icon

Dan Sullivan

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer

Chris Van Hollen

NC-03 House winner?

Raymond Smith Jr. market icon

Raymond Smith Jr.

Greg Murphy market icon

Greg Murphy

Blue wave in 2026?

CO-04 House winner?

Eileen Laubacher market icon

Eileen Laubacher

Lauren Boebert market icon

Lauren Boebert

Blue tsunami in 2026?

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

56

57

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 14 to 16%

Democrats, 12 to 14%

Texas Senate margin of victory

James Talarico, 12+ pts market icon

James Talarico, 12+ pts

James Talarico, 12.2+ pts market icon

James Talarico, 12.2+ pts

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Michigan Senate margin of victory

El-Sayed, 7.1+ pts market icon

El-Sayed, 7.1+ pts

El-Sayed, 7+ pts market icon

El-Sayed, 7+ pts

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

Hakeem Jeffries

Katherine Clark

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune

Tom Cotton

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Elissa Slotkin market icon

Elissa Slotkin

Mississippi Senate margin of victory

Colom, 0.7+ pts market icon

Colom, 0.7+ pts

Colom, 0.8+ pts market icon

Colom, 0.8+ pts

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

Nithya Raman, 8-10% market icon

Nithya Raman, 8-10%

Nithya Raman, 10-12% market icon

Nithya Raman, 10-12%

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

At least 21

At least 26

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 45

45

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gretchen Whitmer market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

No, ≥4%

No, ≥7%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?

Before May 1, 2027 market icon

Before May 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2028 market icon

Before Jan 1, 2028

Alaska Senate margin of victory

Mary Peltola, 5+ pts market icon

Mary Peltola, 5+ pts

Mary Peltola, 6+ pts market icon

Mary Peltola, 6+ pts

CA-23 House winner?

Jay Obernolte market icon

Jay Obernolte

Tessa Lynn Hodge market icon

Tessa Lynn Hodge

Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?

Raman by 15+ market icon

Raman by 15+

Talarico by 10-15 market icon

Talarico by 10-15

Florida Senate margin of victory

Moody, 3.5+ pts market icon

Moody, 3.5+ pts

Moody, 16+ pts market icon

Moody, 16+ pts

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Chris Christie market icon

Chris Christie

Glenn Youngkin market icon

Glenn Youngkin

Oklahoma Governor margin of victory

Mazzei, 19+ pts market icon

Mazzei, 19+ pts

Mazzei, 34+ pts market icon

Mazzei, 34+ pts

Wyoming Governor margin of victory

Barlow, 37+ pts market icon

Barlow, 37+ pts

Barlow, 52+ pts market icon

Barlow, 52+ pts

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Rounds, 13+ pts market icon

Rounds, 13+ pts

Rounds, 21+ pts market icon

Rounds, 21+ pts

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